Weird Medicine Healthcare for the Rest of Us

April 8, 2013

Avian Influenza A (H7N9) Virus

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu,H7N9 Avian Influenza — dr steve @ 1:46 pm

[This website is usually about “shits ‘n’ giggles” (literally, sometimes) but this is an important advisory from the CDC.  Things to do:

  • DON’T PANIC
  • Always wash your stupid hands before eating or after touching something nasty (including human hands)
  • DON’T PANIC
  • Don’t watch “Contagion” anytime soon

Help is on the way; these viruses are susceptible to drugs we already have (e.g., Tamiflu) and a vaccine is in the works for this crappy virus.  Below is the advisory from the CDC.]

On April 1, 2013, the World Health Organization (WHO) first reported 3 human infections with a new influenza A (H7N9) virus in China. Additional cases have been reported since.

(http://www.who.int/csr/don/en/)
(http://www.cdc.gov/Other/disclaimer.html)

At this time, no cases of H7N9 outside of China have been reported. The new H7N9 virus has not been detected in people or birds in the United States.

Most reported cases have severe respiratory illness and, in some cases, have died. According to WHO, no person-to-person spread of the H7N9 virus has been found at this time, and the reported cases are not linked to each other. An investigation by Chinese health authorities is ongoing to find out the source of these infections and detect any more cases.

This new H7N9 virus is an avian (bird) influenza (flu) virus. Human infections with avian influenza (AI, or “bird flu”) are rare but have occurred in the past, most commonly after exposure to infected poultry. However, this is the first time that this bird flu subtype (H7N9) has been found in people. This virus is very different from other H7N9 viruses previously found in birds.

This is a “novel” (non-human) virus and therefore has the potential to cause a pandemic if it were to change to become easily and sustainably spread from person-to-person. So far, this virus has not been determined to have that capability. However, influenza viruses constantly change and it’s possible this virus could gain that ability. CDC takes routine preparedness actions whenever a new virus with pandemic potential is identified, including developing a candidate vaccine virus to make a vaccine if it were to be needed. There is no licensed H7 vaccine available at this time.

CDC is following this situation closely and coordinating with domestic and international partners. In addition, CDC is:

  • Issuing guidance to U.S. clinicians and public health departments (http://emergency.cdc.gov/HAN/han00344.asp) on how to test for this virus.
  • Modifying test kits so that this specific virus can be easily and accurately identified
  • Reviewing genetic sequences of the virus to learn more about it
  • Gathering more information to make a more extensive assessment of the public health risk posed by this virus.

The sequences of the first three viruses were posted to GISAID (http://platform.gisaid.org/epi3/frontend#4195bc)  by China and are publicly available.  Some of the genetic changes have been associated with increased transmissibility of other AI viruses to mammals based on animal studies involving ferrets in the past. So far, all three viruses seem to be susceptible to the influenza antiviral drugs oseltamivir and zanamivir, but they are resistant to the adamantanes.

This is an evolving situation and there is still much to learn. CDC will provide updated information as it becomes available.  General information about avian influenza viruses and how they spread is available at Avian Influenza A Virus Infections in Humans (/flu/avianflu/avian-in-humans.htm) .

October 28, 2009

Flu Vaccine Causes Weird Dystonia

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu — dr steve @ 9:18 am

Desiree Jennings developed severe side effects from the flu shot she received seven weeks ago, according to the Loudon Times-Mirror.

Before she received the shot, Jennings said she was very healthy and training for a half-marathon. Jennings also was an ambassador for the Washington Redskins, a training program to become a cheerleader.

But 10 days after receiving the flu shot, Jennings said she started experiencing flu-like symptoms.

Jennings’ physical therapist, who works at Johns Hopkins Hospital in Maryland, said the woman has dystonia, a disorder where muscle contractions cause involuntary body jerks and repetitive movements.

“You realize your life is never going to come back the way it was,” Jennings told the Times-Mirror. “My goal in life was to one day be a CEO. Now, I don’t know if I can ever return back to work.”

This one is really scary…and is being used by some to advocate against receiving the influenza vaccine. Some people are quoting the CDC as saying this is a “one in a million” event…a severe neurological reaction to having a flu shot. Well, if we have 300 million people in this country, are we looking at 300 events like this a year? Probably not. I suspect (and the data is sketchy, so it’s just a suspicion) that the probability of this happening has been overstated; I’ve been in medicine for over 20 years and in that time 100s of millions of people have had flu vaccine and this is the first case like this I’ve seen in the media. I could find no data in the literature linking dystonia to influenza vaccine, but that doesn’t mean it didn’t happen.

Vaccines stimulate the immune system to make antibodies against the proteins that are injected. Sometimes those same antibodies “recognize” normal human tissue and attack it. This arises from the natural variation humans have in their immune-protection systems, and occasionally someone will have a natural protein in their body that is similar enough to a viral protein to be attacked by the same antibody.

A classic condition thought to be caused this way is Guillain-Barre’ syndrome (GBS). Since the pathway in Desiree Jennings’ case is thought to be similar, I think an in-depth look at GBS is worth the time.

From the CDC:

Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) is a rare disorder in which a person’s own immune system damages the nerve cells, causing muscle weakness and sometimes paralysis. GBS can cause symptoms that last for a few weeks or several months. Most people recover fully from GBS, but some people have permanent nerve damage. In rare cases, people have died of GBS, usually from difficulty with breathing. In the United States, for example, an estimated 3,000 to 6,000 people develop GBS each year on average, whether or not they received a vaccination. This is about 1 to 2 cases of GBS per 100,000 people.

What causes GBS?
Scientists do not fully understand what causes GBS, but it is believed that stimulation of the body’s immune system may play a role in its development. Here’s what scientists know for sure: About two-thirds of people who develop GBS symptoms do so several days or weeks after they have been sick with a diarrheal or respiratory illness. Infection with the bacterium Campylobacter jejuni is one of the most common risk factors for GBS. People can also develop GBS after having the flu or other infections (such as cytomegalovirus and Epstein Barr virus). On very rare occasions, they may develop GBS in the days or weeks following receiving a vaccination.

Who is at risk for developing GBS?
Anyone can develop GBS, but it is more common among adults than children. The incidence of GBS increases with age, and people over age 50 are at greatest risk for developing GBS. Each year, on average, about 3,000 to 6,000 people in the United States develop GBS whether or not they received a vaccination – that’s 1 to 2 people out of every 100,000 people.

Do vaccines cause GBS?
It is not fully understood why some people develop GBS, but it is believed that the nerve cells are damaged by a person’s own immune system. Many types of infections, and in very rare cases vaccines, may activate the immune system to cause damage to the nerve cells.

How common is GBS, and how common is it after people are vaccinated for seasonal influenza?
GBS is rare. Each year, about 3,000 to 6,000 people in the United States develop GBS whether or not they received a vaccination – that’s 1 to 2 people out of every 100,000 people. This is referred to as the background rate.

In 1976, there was a small risk of GBS following influenza (swine flu) vaccination (approximately 1 additional case per 100,000 people who received the swine flu vaccine). That number of GBS cases was slightly higher than the background rate for GBS. Since then, numerous studies have been done to evaluate if other flu vaccines were associated with GBS. In most studies, no association was found, but two studies suggested that approximately 1 additional person out of 1 million vaccinated people may be at risk for GBS associated with the seasonal influenza vaccine. It is important to keep in mind that severe illness and possible death can be associated with influenza, and vaccination is the best way to prevent influenza infection and its complications.

What happened in 1976 with GBS and the swine flu vaccine?
Scientists first reported a suspected link between GBS and vaccinations in 1976, during a national campaign to vaccinate people against a swine flu virus. The investigation found that vaccine recipients had a higher risk for GBS than those who were not vaccinated (about 1 additional case occurred per 100,000 people vaccinated). Given this association, and the fact that the swine flu disease was limited, the vaccination program was stopped.
Since then, numerous studies have been done to evaluate if other flu vaccines were associated with GBS. In most studies, no association was found, but two studies suggested that approximately 1 additional person out of 1 million vaccinated people may be at risk for GBS associated with the seasonal influenza vaccine.

Why did some people develop GBS after they received the 1976 swine flu vaccine?
The Institute of Medicine (IOM) conducted a thorough scientific review in 2003 and concluded that people who received the 1976 swine influenza vaccine had a slight increased risk for developing GBS. Scientists have multiple theories on why this increased risk may have occurred, but the exact reason for this association remains unknown.

Note that GBS is relatively common compared to dystonia…6000 cases/year compared to 300 or less (or even less if the “1 in a million” is off by a factor of 10 or 100 which I suspect that it is). Also note, though that people are much more commonly affected after getting a virus than from being vaccinated for said virus.

Now I’m just theorizing here, but it’s based on some science…if it’s the antibodies to the vaccine that cause the disorder, then the antibodies to the virus itself would have caused the same disorder. There may be people out there who are simply fated to get an autoimmune adverse reaction because of their native proteins; they would get it if they took the vaccine or if they contracted the virus since the immune response is very similar, if not identical. The only way they could prevent the syndrome would be to not take the vaccine and not get the virus, something that’s difficult to control. In addition, there’s no way to know ahead of time that you’re the person who is going to have this problem.

Statistically (and that’s the only way we can look at large populations), the flu vaccine saves lives. In 1918, the flu pandemic affected 1/3 of the world’s population and 1/10 of those people died. In real numbers, the world had 1.5 billion people then–500 million got the virus and 50,000,000 died. If there had been a vaccine back then, those numbers would have been slashed dramatically.

So you weigh the “good of the many versus the good of the few…or the one”. Influenza vaccine will save a ton of young adults and children from dying this year. There will be tragic calamities caused by the vaccine in a much smaller number of people. Unfortunately we live in a grossly imperfect world. Someday in the future if we can keep from blowing ourselves up or doing something equally stupid, we may be able to harness the immune system in such a precise way that no one ever need die from a viral infection again.

Then of course we’ll figure out we need the viruses to live somehow, but then it’ll be too late (fatalist that I am).

More later

your pal,

Dr Steve

September 13, 2009

Dr Steve on Montel (and the 3 hour turd-fest audio)

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu,Podcast — Tags: , , , , , — dr steve @ 10:22 pm

Well, the 3 hour Weird Medicine on the SNV is complete and the feedback was pretty good.   Listening to it, I think the last 2/3rds was better than the first 1/3rd.  We enjoyed doing it, and it was great practice for the Nov 7th LIVE show, and for the Nashville shows that are yet to come (also LIVE).   Who knew Lady Trucker’s doodies would make her a star?  (BTW, you can follow her on Twitter…she’s awful, and that’s why I love her.)

Also, to show how incestuous this business is, I got a call from Mike Opelka, AKA “STUNTBRAIN” from the old O&A CBS show.  He’s now, among other things, working with Montel Williams on his Air America thing and they needed a doctor “stat” to talk about the Tamiflu resistant H1N1 outbreak in North Carolina.   While I’m on hold after the first break, a voice comes on the line and says to me: “PLUG WHORE!”  Turns out it was Jivin from the CT and Jivin show, who we thoroughly dissed on our show (but with love, we kid, we kid).

So enjoy, both chunks of audio are herein presented for your entertainment and/or derision. Well, the 3 hour show is in the next post for the RSS feed, but anyway…

September 11, 2009

First Tamiflu-resistant H1N1 Flu cases emerge

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu — Tags: , , — dr steve @ 8:46 am

The CDC states that the “vast majority” of H1N1 cases have been sensitive to Oseltamivir, the generic name for Tamiflu, an antiviral medication that is used against influenza. This implies that there have been Tamiflu-resistant cases known to the CDC. This is in itself not unusual; influenza virus is known to rapidly mutate and when you’re talking about a population of billions in the world, it makes sense that the virus would “try out” some tricks here and there that would lead to drug resistance. Now a few of those cases are showing up clinically and have been in the news over the last two days.

From Reuters:

SYDNEY (Reuters) – The first Australian case of swine flu resistant to Roche Holding AG’s antiviral drug Tamiflu was confirmed by the Western Australia state government on Friday.

“The 38-year-old Perth man, who has a weakened immune system, initially responded to the drug but developed a resistant strain of the virus when his illness relapsed,” the state’s Department of Health said in a statement.

There have been 13 cases of Tamiflu-resistant infections around the world, the statement said.

A Roche executive said on Monday that isolated cases of Tamiflu-resistant H1N1 pandemic flu were to be expected, in line with what has been seen in clinical studies.

“There is no evidence that the virus has spread to other people. None of the patient’s family or hospital staff caring for him have contracted the virus, and he has not been in contact with the wider community,” said the state’s Chief Health Officer Tarun Weeramanthri, adding that the case was a rare and isolated one.

Of more concern in this country has been the story that two campers came down with a drug-resistant variant of the H1N1 virus. The story goes like this: the medical director of the camp decided (against CDC recommendations) to treat everyone at the camp with Tamiflu whether they were at risk or not. It’s no surprise, therefore, that two of the girls developed Tamiflu-resistant virus. What else was the virus supposed to do? If you want to create drug-resistant agents, give everyone in the population the drug and just wait. It’ll happen every time.

The good news is, neither of those girls transmitted the virus to their families (at least according to my sources) and the virus was still sensitive to Relenza, the other antiviral we have at our disposal.

A single person in Australia, 2 campers, and about 10 other cases of Tamiflu resistance should not a panic make.

The CDC recommends that Tamiflu and Relenza be saved to treat only people at risk of serious illness or death from flu — pregnant women, children who seem to have trouble breathing or other serious symptoms, and people with conditions that weaken their immune systems such as diabetes, asthma and heart disease.

I’ll keep you up to date as this thing evolves. For now, WASH YOUR HANDS, stay in if you’re sick until your fever has been gone for at least 24 hours, and if you have to go out, wear a mask or at least cough into your elbow. Remember, Relenza still works, so we’re not faced with Stephen King’s “The Stand” just yet.

your pal,

Steve

September 6, 2009

Weekly H1N1 Update for XM202 and Sirius 197 Listeners

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu — Tags: , , , — dr steve @ 12:07 am

Generally, what’s going on in Asia and the Southern Hemisphere during our summer (remember, it’s their winter) reflects what we’ll see during the winter here. So far, the H1N1 virus shows no signs of mutating into some bizarre “superflu” that the media continues to warn us against. I will repeat this again, no one can predict what this virus will do. It may continue to be a rather mild influenza virus (that still kills a significant number of people worldwide every year), or it could change and become a real problem. Influenza can kiss my ass. As soon as the vaccine is available, go get your shots. The more people that are immunized, the less likely this stupid virus is to spread. We don’t have to immunize EVERYONE to get the desired effect (though that would be ideal). If you can just immunize “most everyone”, the virus will have a hard time spreading throughout the population. It looks like vaccine will be available the middle of this month (September 2009).

Here are some facts from the CDC:

This situation report provides an update to the international situation as of August 28, 2009. As of August 23, the World Health Organization (WHO) regions have reported over 209,438 laboratory-confirmed cases of 2009 H1N1 influenza virus with at least 2,185 deaths. The laboratory-confirmed cases represent a substantial underestimation of total cases in the world as many countries focus surveillance and laboratory testing only in persons with severe illness. The 2009 H1N1 influenza virus continues to be the dominant influenza virus in circulation in the world. Decreases in disease due to 2009 H1N1 continue to be reported from South America and parts of Australia. The United Kingdom is also reporting national decreases in disease due to 2009 H1N1. In contrast, disease associated with 2009 H1N1 influenza is continuing to increase in southern Africa, and more African countries have reported their first cases. In addition, 2009 H1N1 continues to circulate in tropical countries.

So the mortality rate is 2185 deaths for 209438 cases, which translates to approximately 1 death per 100 cases. The death rate is therefore 0.0104.

If you have a fever, muscle aches, cough, headache, malaise…go see your health care provider. This virus is still sensitive to standard antiviral therapy (don’t tell it!) but you have to catch it in the first 48 hours to do any good.

Good luck! I’ll keep you in the loop best I can.

your pal,

Steve

PS: don’t miss “Weird Medicine”, 9-12MN EDST (6-9 Pacific) on Saturday, Sept 12th, 2009. This is an ALL NEW show, our “Fecalicious Turdastic Extravaganza” show, and it was pretty good. Check it out on Xm 202 or Sirius 197.

September 1, 2009

H1N1 (Swine) Flu: Don’t Panic (yet) (with O&A audio)

Filed under: H1N1 (Swine) Flu,Steve's Blog — Tags: , , , — dr steve @ 6:11 am

Fox News and other networks have been running a story that “scientists” are “predicting” a resurgence of the H1N1 (Swine) Flu virus this winter, one that will rival the influenza epidemic of 1918. My sources at the CDC tell me that in fact, this is simply a report about a contingency plan by the government in case the worst does happen. No one is able to predict what this stupid virus will do, but planning for the worst is never a bad idea. We talked about this briefly on O&A this morning, albeit in my typical “you woke me up, you asshats” stupor.

Barring a “superflu” of “Stephen King’s The Stand” proportions, it’s unlikely that the 1918 death rate will ever happen again. During that pandemic, 1/3 of the Earth’s 1.5 billion people got the flu, and 1/10th of those died from it. One thing they didn’t have back then that we do now: Antiviral medications. Another thing: mechanical ventilators. Another thing: the internet and mass media so people can stay abreast of what’s going on. Another thing: Purell. Another thing…well, you get the picture.

There are higher than normal influenza cases right now. The CDC issued this statement today:

  • Visits to doctors for influenza-like illness (ILI) were highest in February during the 2008-09 flu season, but rose again in April 2009 after the new H1N1 virus emerged. Current visits to doctors for influenza-like illness are down from April, but are higher than what is expected in the summer.
  • Total influenza hospitalization rates for adults and children remain low and are well below the seasonal winter-time average of the last four years.
  • The proportion of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was low and within the bounds of what is expected in the summer.
  • Most state health officials are reporting local or sporadic influenza activity. Two states are reporting widespread influenza activity at this time. Any reports of widespread influenza activity in August are very unusual.
  • Almost all of the influenza viruses identified were the new 2009 H1N1 influenza A viruses. These 2009 H1N1 viruses remain similar to the viruses chosen for the 2009 H1N1 vaccine and remain susceptible to antiviral drugs (oseltamivir and zanamivir).
  • So wash your hands, don’t put your fingers in your eyes, nose and mouth, and remain vigilant. If you come down with a fever/aches/pain/cough go see your primary care provider.

    your pal,

    steve

    (Check out the O&A audio…you can hear what a dumbass I am at 6:30AM)

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